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If the AI is more intelligent, I'd prefer it take over anyway, even if it gets rid of us.

When you have a child, do you want the child to stay at home and do what you say forever? Or do you want the child to succeed as much as possible? I want the latter.



One of the major realisations from reading Less Wrong is taht Intelligence and Goals/Desires have nothing to do with each other.

An AI might be much more intelligent, but it has a goal system that basically says: "Make as many paperclips as you can". Everything it does will be with the singular purpose of making more paperclips. Not music, math, sport, culture or anything else that we think of as good. Not "help save intelligent creatures and animals from death". Only one goal - making more paperclips.

And if it decides that the optimal way to make paperclips just happens to involve death and destruction to humanity, that won't matter.

So yes, the AI might be more intelligent, but I still wouldn't want to trade humanity for an intelligence which doesn't do anything I value.


If our approach to AI is to model the human brain (i.e. passing the Turing test), this probably won't happen.

Friendly AI is a silly research project at this stage of AI research. It's like trying to figure out how to make horseless carriages safe before you have an internal combustion engine, or even know what one is.


Before the first Nuke (or the first H-bomb, I don't remember) was fired, there was a study about the risk of burning up the entire atmosphere. See, at the time, they were quite confident the Nuke would just be a huge bomb, but there was this little uncertainty they needed to sort out. In the end, they concluded that firing the Nuke would not burn up the whole atmosphere. It didn't.

The lesson is this: we had only one try. If nukes did cause the atmosphere to burn up in a giant blaze, we would all be dead by now. If you do something, anything, you better make sure it won't kill us all.

Horseless carriages? Sure, these might kill a few people, here and then[1], but we're pretty sure they won't kill us all in one blow.

Intelligence on the other hand is way more dangerous. Human intelligence designed Nukes in the first place remember? AI can do way worse. Even if we model it after the human brain, if it's smart enough to do the same as we did, then it will be able to model another such AI, only slightly better, and so on until it takes over the world. "Taking over the world" may sound enormous, but it really isn't. Imagine for a minute a small group of cavemen vs an army of chimps. Well, if you give the cavemen a chance to prepare, the chimps are toast: the cavemen have spears, fire, better communication… Now imagine an AI imagine the AI is smarter than us by the same margin we're smarter than chimps. Same thing: if it's not safe, we're toast.

[1]: http://www.statisticbrain.com/car-crash-fatality-statistics-...


What makes you say it probably won't happen if we model the human brain?


I think it would be a bit different if the child (AI) takes all your food and kicks you out of your own house ;-P.




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