I'm interested to know if it was pressure on Twitter or or if the uploader followed a Youtube appeal process which was successful.
500 hours of video are uploaded to YouTube every minute worldwide, algorithms are the only way to practically 'police' harmful content on this scale, but so long as there is a meaningful appeals process, i don't see an issue?
There is a joke here somewhere. Vouching against government regulation and for liberalism, gets his speech deleted. Does liberalism not apply to Youtube?
As the entirety of your comment as a quote, I don’t know if you’re giving an example of David Davis saying something misleading, or if you’re trying to signal boost his claims.
(Think of it this way: if 100% of people are vaccinated, then 100% of deaths will be vaccinated people. This is true for literally every possible vaccine and disease and cause of death, not just COVID. It’s also true for “people who drink water”. It only pattern matches the conveyance of useful information, but by itself it is half a statement and says nothing).
TBH, I think the Lead Stories factcheck is slightly hand-wavy. Let's do some back-of-the-envelope calculations based on their numbers:
- The breakdown of Covid-19 deaths for the month of August in Scotland seems to be as follows: 75% fully vaccinated, 20% unvaccinated, and 5% partly vaccinated.
- The Covid-19 vaccination progress in Scotland seems to be like this: 84% have had both doses, 9% are not vaccinated, and 7% have only had their first dose.
Now, we can try to estimate the vaccine's efficacy as follows: the population of fully vaccinated people is ~9.33x the unvaccinated (0.84/0.9), but their number of deaths is only ~3.75x (0.75/0.2). That gives an estimated efficacy of around 60%. (https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1+-+%280.75%2F0.2%29%2...)
Again from the numbers in the factcheck, the advertised efficacy is around 75 to 99% for the AstraZeneca vaccine.
Worth noting that when you break down the data into age groups the efficacy is substantially higher than that overall number, since the vaccinated population skews older. An example of Simpson's paradox. Good explanation here: https://www.covid-datascience.com/post/israeli-data-how-can-...
Very interesting, and certainly much more nuanced than the factcheck. I had heard of the Simpson's paradox in another context (university admissions), but really didn't expect it to pop up here.
That's a fair point. My napkin math doesn't account for demographic differences between the vaccinated and unvaccinated. However, the factcheck does not even mention your point. I guess one could argue that's yet another reason that it is indeed hand-wavy, and doesn't live up to its promise of "telling the whole story" :-)
The trouble is, it's not actually a fallacy when we're talking about the benefits of forcing the remaining people to get vaccinated. The main supposed justification for forcing people to get vaccinated right now is that it'll prevent the hospital system from becoming overwhelmed by stopping them being hospitalized, and this is why they're supposedly harming others by refusing to be vaccinated. Obviously this doesn't work at all once the vast majority of people who're hospitalized due to Covid-19 are vaccinated.
(The other misleading trick is to do stuff like quoting figures starting in January. What matters is the hospitalization rate right now, which is very different - less than 1% of people in the UK were fully vaccinated back in January and it's a similar story in other countries.)
At least in the US, by the way, it's nowhere near "overwhelmed": https://protect-public.hhs.gov/pages/hospital-utilization. These are fairly normal numbers this time of year. Yet if you listen to the "free" press, you'd think we're piling up the bodies in the freezer trailers at this point. Horseshit, all of it. We're being lied to.
That's an interesting point, although for that we should be using hospitalization numbers instead of deaths.
I think you would agree that if the rest of the population got vaccinated, the load on the hospitals would probably decrease by some amount. Knowing how much merit the argument of the hospitals being overwhelmed has requires some careful analysis based on the actual numbers.
Sadly, that seems to be too much of an expectation from the people who call themselves journalists (and fact-checkers seem to only do marginally better).
> Of the 51,281 deaths involving Covid registered in England between 2 January and 2 July 2021:
> - 640 (1.2%) were people who had received both vaccine doses
> This total includes people who had been infected before they were vaccinated
> - Some 458 deaths (0.8%) were people who died at least 21 days after their second dose
> Just 256 deaths (0.5%) were people who were both fully vaccinated and who had their first positive PCR test at least 14 days after their second dose
> Some deaths after vaccination were always expected because vaccines are not 100% effective, and it takes a couple of weeks after your second dose to build the fullest protection.
> The figures show the high degree of protection from the vaccines against illness and death, the ONS said.
Yikes - the time period the BBC and ONS have chosen for those statistics is close to maximally misleading. It includes most of the 2020/2021 winter wave of cases and deaths which ended before the UK had widespread vaccination whilst almost entirely excluding the summer 2021 wave which happened after most of the adult population was vaccinated. Of course most deaths are going to be amongst people who weren't vaccinated if you only count the ones before vaccination was widespread.
To give some context for how bad setting the time period to be from the start of January to the start of July is, the winter wave peaked in cases at the start of January and deaths mid-January, and by the end of the month less than 1% of UK adults had recieved both vaccine doses - and remember, the stats in that article are for both doses only. The next big wave saw deaths start to increase around the start of July, by which point three-quarters of adults had both doses; those deaths aren't counted at all.
In january daily deaths peaked at ~1800 and in looks like summer wave peaked at ~190 in september. Also in january daily detected infection peaked at ~67k then in july peaked at ~54k and currently is at around ~43k.
So even if detected daily number of cases was not much lower than in january comparing to june that's ~10x reduction of deaths. It's hard to argue that at least there is correlation that increased number of vaccines among population reduced deaths.
So even if vaccines maybe won't prevent you from catching the virus it reduces risk of death at least 10x fold. That's enough good benefit for me to get vaccinated.
~"95% of car crash deaths are those wearing a seatbelt"
Does that mean seatbelts are harmful? no.
Almost everyone wears a seatbelt, so the overall deaths are much lower than if everyone didn't wear a seatbelt.
P.S I couldn't be bothered looking the actual number up because the vaccine claim is ridiculous.
I was just Duckduckgoing this issue and found this popular title quite amusing. In Finland they are issuing passports against 17% population. Most of which have medical excuse.
I've taken all my other vaccines. But because I don't want to take one vaccine with unknown long term side effects for a disease that I've already had, I'm suddenly an antivaxxer? I disagree.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VidUXZjzNVk