Idk, this and the original article are just clickbait. Most of the predictions on that list were outright silly. Anyone who thought 3DTV was anything more than a fad is delusional, a better prediction would have been that his son would never have to experience 3DTV. Wireless will never replace wires and the same goes for desktop PCs, sure their market share will reduce but their demise is greatly over exaggerated.
Most of his predictions were based in fantasy desire.
I would argue that while his son will probably never use an actual dedicated Fax Machine, he will probably have to figure out how to send a fax at least once. Lawyers just can't seem to get away from those damn things.
> Most of the predictions on that list were outright silly. Anyone who thought 3DTV was anything more than a fad is delusional, a better prediction would have been that his son would never have to experience 3DTV.
That seems a bit harsh, considering that the 3D versions of major blockbuster movies do well in theaters. It doesn't seem unreasonable to expect that quite a few people would want to be able to get the 3D versions of those movies for home viewing.
A 3D TV is not much different from a 2D TV. Doesn't it mainly just need a higher refresh rate, and for some 3D technologies a higher vertical resolution? The higher end TVs from most manufacturers already often have twice the refresh rate of mid end TVs, and higher resolution (e.g., there are 8K TVs out now, even though most programming is 4K or less).
I'd have expected TV makers to continue offering 3D, but only on their high end models. It wouldn't really cost them much, and it would get those people that watch 3D movies in theaters and want the same version at home to buy a higher end TV than they would otherwise need.
> the 3D versions of major blockbuster movies do well in theaters.
Did well, past tense. 3D movies peaked in 2010 and box office sales declined annually. By 2019 they were less than 50% of their 2010 peak. TV makers stopped making 3D TVs after 2016.
You're right that 3D TVs were just high refresh rate TVs but they have to sync with shutter glasses so you can't easily do 3D without TV support.
The latest HDMI spec supports variable refresh rate so in theory you could now make a player capable of handling the shutter sync.
It was a fad just like in the 50s and 80s. It lasted longer this time but yeah 3D is dead.
The first article was written in 2012, box office numbers peaked in 2010. Everyone was wowed by Avatar in 2009, and then less impressed when the best 3D movie of 2010 was Avatar: Special Edition.
Almost no one cared about 3D movies in 2012 and it was only industry momentum and sunk cost fallacy that kept things going for as long as it did.
I’m a lawyer in a government agency and never once in my 20-year career have I sent or received a fax. The only faxes that come out of the machine are junk faxes. People have been emailing scanned PDFs for at least 15 of those 20 years.
Clearly you haven't had to change your benefits in your 20 year career. I briefly worked for the state 5 years ago, and had to fax them my social security number to elect for benefits. No receipt at the other end other than benefits being successfully pulled the next paycheck. Fax works its way in to some roles where it is entrenched, namely HR.
Clearly I have changed my benefits many times in my 20-year career. Most of the systems to do this in my government are Web-based. For those that aren’t, I email a PDF form to the appropriate personnel.
Weird how different these systems are. Anything involving something like a social security number could not be emailed. HR would be explicit telling you not to reply back with the filled PDFs via email.
And yet it's ok to email PDFs containing all the bank verification info to transfer your retirement account. Ask me how I know...
We have software installed in our email gateway that detects key words like SSN or 16 digit numbers that look like credit cards and blocks them from being sent.
Weird, maybe it's just real estate and medical then but several times we've been unable to get around it.
I initially wrote a fax App using the Twilio API to send some medical forms that could only be faxed. Since then I've had to use it for the sale of two homes, and this past summer it was augmented to receive faxes for closing on a home. My partner ask me for the number just last week to request some medical records from out of state.
Most of his predictions were based in fantasy desire.
I would argue that while his son will probably never use an actual dedicated Fax Machine, he will probably have to figure out how to send a fax at least once. Lawyers just can't seem to get away from those damn things.